Tuesday, February 07, 2006

I wonder if we could collect -and then take a global village vote across cultures of club of city -some pattern rules of nature and webs pervasive connectivity. Language , I don’t care to worry about : if you call them principles fine, but I have in mind 2 types of ideas. Either patterns you would steer by as defaults unless a context proves its an exception. Or views to keep in mind because they have revolutionary consequences if you have never heard of them

In the 2nd class : I believe a huge idea of systems*systems*systems... is understand the smallest ripple that networks a huge wave. This is not complexity's butterfly wing nonsense. It is simply understanding the smallest thing anyone can do virally - to good , bad or unintended effect - because at that moment of time, place and space it links through so many flows. A sad example at the moment is persecution of Denmark for one editor's silly taste in publishing cartoons.

When people often tut tut that one of the problems today is badwill network coordinators are smarter at networking than democratic leaders (and others hopefully representing goodwill) I believe it comes back to this identification of where's the epicentre of the wave.

http://exponentials.blogspot.com Top-down strategists are almost by definition least practised at understanding the exponential consequences of the viral, and so sustainability over time of integrating global * local. The small things that most connects propagation through and through are a topic we need 6 billion united peoples observing.

One more reason why this is urgent now is that web2.1 is gathering out of California. This , so I am told by those close to silicon valley, is an attempt to build the peoples web by technology experts who are not dotbombed by money above all else but open source first. It would be good if we could help them double check human relations webs propagation patterns as well as the hi-tech we can leave them to play with.

cheers
chris macrae
co-editors welcomed at
http://theageofwaves.blogspot.com
http://clubofdenmark.blogspot.com
http://clubofbethesda.blogspot.com

Saturday, December 31, 2005

TheAgeOfWaves was a victim of the 100 blogs (co-edited by ClubofCity networks google) meltdown of DEc 9

Here is our summary for 2005
-more content soon

When you look at how many of the mathematical advances of the 20th Century are concerned with wane theory, systemic connectivity or networks as systems * systems and then compare this with the professions that advise boardrooms on valuation, risk , perofmance and other metrics, the mathematical ignorance of these so-called hard professions is terrifying. It is made wiorse by them being authoried to drown everyone in spreadsheets of numbers. Unless this mathematical madness is stopped before 2010, humanity will lost the world as was predicted back in the 1980s by:
my dad at The Economist
Buckminster Fuller
Peter Drucker
Most future historians

Mathematicians like John von Neumann the practiotner who bore the compouter and Eninstein must be rolling in their graves at such systemically blinded leadership to compound consequences

To let such poor mathematicians provide the information around which global organsiations govern is the greatest risk 6 billion people could let happen in an age of waves, of integration of every locality into global markets, of networks as systems connecting systems. The lost transparency, the lost trust-flow and the lost sustainability will ruin everyone except for thsoe who deliberately profit from bubbling an expoenatil up and then down

Saturday, December 24, 2005

Extract New Scientist

The ocean current that gives western Europe its relatively balmy climate is stuttering, raising fears that it might fail entirely and plunge the continent into a mini ice age.

The dramatic finding comes from a study of ocean circulation in the North Atlantic, which found a 30% reduction in the warm currents that carry water north from the Gulf Stream.

The slow-down, which has long been predicted as a possible consequence of global warming, will give renewed urgency to intergovernmental talks in Montreal, Canada, this week on a successor to the Kyoto Protocol.


What do you think about these dramatic findings?
Discuss this story >> Harry Bryden at the National Oceanography Centre in Southampton, UK, whose group carried out the analysis, says he is not yet sure if the change is temporary or signals a long-term trend. "We don’t want to say the circulation will shut down," he told New Scientist. "But we are nervous about our findings. They have come as quite a surprise."

No one-off
The North Atlantic is dominated by the Gulf Stream – currents that bring warm water north from the tropics. At around 40° north – the latitude of Portugal and New York – the current divides. Some water heads southwards in a surface current known as the subtropical gyre, while the rest continues north, leading to warming winds that raise European temperatures by 5°C to 10°C.

But when Bryden’s team measured north-south heat flow last year, using a set of instruments strung across the Atlantic from the Canary Islands to the Bahamas, they found that the division of the waters appeared to have changed since previous surveys in 1957, 1981 and 1992. From the amount of water in the subtropical gyre and the flow southwards at depth, they calculate that the quantity of warm water flowing north had fallen by around 30%.

When Bryden added previously unanalysed data – collected in the same region by the US government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration – he found a similar pattern. This suggests that his 2004 measurements are not a one-off, and that most of the slow-down happened between 1992 and 1998.

The changes are too big to be explained by chance, co-author Stuart Cunningham told New Scientist from a research ship off the Canary Islands, where he is collecting more data. "We think the findings are robust."